full transcript

From the Ted Talk by Dennis E. Shasha: Can you solve the fantasy election riddle?

Unscramble the Blue Letters

Suppose you have everyone flip the coin twice— now there are four possible results. You can tell the ploepe who flip heads twice in a row to report support for the troll; those who get tails twice in a row to report dragon; and those with any other cmiinotoban to declare their true prfecreene. The chances of getting either two heads or two tails in a row are 50% tmies 50%— or 25%. Subtracting that proportion of the total respondents from each candidate’s score should give you something colse to the real distribution.

Open Cloze

Suppose you have everyone flip the coin twice— now there are four possible results. You can tell the ______ who flip heads twice in a row to report support for the troll; those who get tails twice in a row to report dragon; and those with any other ___________ to declare their true __________. The chances of getting either two heads or two tails in a row are 50% _____ 50%— or 25%. Subtracting that proportion of the total respondents from each candidate’s score should give you something _____ to the real distribution.

Solution

  1. preference
  2. people
  3. times
  4. close
  5. combination

Original Text

Suppose you have everyone flip the coin twice— now there are four possible results. You can tell the people who flip heads twice in a row to report support for the troll; those who get tails twice in a row to report dragon; and those with any other combination to declare their true preference. The chances of getting either two heads or two tails in a row are 50% times 50%— or 25%. Subtracting that proportion of the total respondents from each candidate’s score should give you something close to the real distribution.

Frequently Occurring Word Combinations

ngrams of length 2

collocation frequency
dormor polling 2
true preference 2

Important Words

  1. chances
  2. close
  3. coin
  4. combination
  5. declare
  6. distribution
  7. flip
  8. give
  9. heads
  10. people
  11. preference
  12. proportion
  13. real
  14. report
  15. respondents
  16. results
  17. row
  18. score
  19. subtracting
  20. support
  21. suppose
  22. tails
  23. times
  24. total
  25. true