full transcript

## Unscramble the Blue Letters

For many Diskymon trainers, it seems intuitive that if A is the best at beating B or C, it should also be the best at bniateg B and C. Strangely enough, that couldn’t be further from the truth. Let’s catlacule the odds. For A to win, B has to smumon a level 2 dmsykion, and C has to summon a level 1. Those are independent events, so their odds are 56% times 51%, or 29%. For disk B, a level 2 Churrozard would automatically lose to the Burgersaur. But you’d have two ways to win. The 22% chance of summoning a level 6 would give you an outright win, while a level 4 could still win if C summons a level 1. Adding up those mutually exclusive possibilities gives you odds of about 33%. Finally, C will win with a level 5 Wartortilla as long as B doesn’t summon its lveel 6, giving C a 38% chance overall. So while disk A’s middling consistency was an advantage in a single matchup, multiple fights increase the odds that one of the other dskis will summon something better. And although C was the worst first-round option, its decent chance of summoning a strong level 5 gives it an avaantdge when fincag two opponents simultaneously. This sort of counterintuitive result is why misleading statistics are a favored tool of ulrcnsuupous pciloiantis and nefarious Diskymon trainers alkie.

## Open Cloze

For many Diskymon trainers, it seems intuitive that if A is the best at beating B or C, it should also be the best at _______ B and C. Strangely enough, that couldn’t be further from the truth. Let’s _________ the odds. For A to win, B has to ______ a level 2 ________, and C has to summon a level 1. Those are independent events, so their odds are 56% times 51%, or 29%. For disk B, a level 2 Churrozard would automatically lose to the Burgersaur. But you’d have two ways to win. The 22% chance of summoning a level 6 would give you an outright win, while a level 4 could still win if C summons a level 1. Adding up those mutually exclusive possibilities gives you odds of about 33%. Finally, C will win with a level 5 Wartortilla as long as B doesn’t summon its _____ 6, giving C a 38% chance overall. So while disk A’s middling consistency was an advantage in a single matchup, multiple fights increase the odds that one of the other _____ will summon something better. And although C was the worst first-round option, its decent chance of summoning a strong level 5 gives it an _________ when ______ two opponents simultaneously. This sort of counterintuitive result is why misleading statistics are a favored tool of ____________ ___________ and nefarious Diskymon trainers _____.

## Solution

1. summon
2. diskymon
4. level
5. disks
6. beating
7. alike
8. unscrupulous
9. calculate
10. facing
11. politicians

## Original Text

For many Diskymon trainers, it seems intuitive that if A is the best at beating B or C, it should also be the best at beating B and C. Strangely enough, that couldn’t be further from the truth. Let’s calculate the odds. For A to win, B has to summon a level 2 Diskymon, and C has to summon a level 1. Those are independent events, so their odds are 56% times 51%, or 29%. For disk B, a level 2 Churrozard would automatically lose to the Burgersaur. But you’d have two ways to win. The 22% chance of summoning a level 6 would give you an outright win, while a level 4 could still win if C summons a level 1. Adding up those mutually exclusive possibilities gives you odds of about 33%. Finally, C will win with a level 5 Wartortilla as long as B doesn’t summon its level 6, giving C a 38% chance overall. So while disk A’s middling consistency was an advantage in a single matchup, multiple fights increase the odds that one of the other disks will summon something better. And although C was the worst first-round option, its decent chance of summoning a strong level 5 gives it an advantage when facing two opponents simultaneously. This sort of counterintuitive result is why misleading statistics are a favored tool of unscrupulous politicians and nefarious Diskymon trainers alike.

## Frequently Occurring Word Combinations

### ngrams of length 2

collocation frequency
level diskymon 2

## Important Words

3. alike
4. automatically
5. beating
6. burgersaur
7. calculate
8. chance
9. churrozard
10. consistency
11. counterintuitive
12. decent
13. disk
14. disks
15. diskymon
16. events
17. exclusive
18. facing
19. favored
20. fights
21. finally
22. give
23. giving
24. increase
25. independent
26. intuitive
27. level
28. long
29. lose
30. matchup
31. middling
33. multiple
34. mutually
35. nefarious
36. odds
37. opponents
38. option
39. outright
40. politicians
41. possibilities
42. result
43. simultaneously
44. single
45. sort
46. statistics
47. strangely
48. strong
49. summon
50. summoning
51. summons
52. times
53. tool
54. trainers
55. truth
56. unscrupulous
57. wartortilla
58. ways
59. win
60. worst