full transcript

From the Ted Talk by Peter Donnelly: How juries are fooled by statistics

Unscramble the Blue Letters

It's one of the challenges in our profession to try and explain what we do. We're not top on people's lists for dinner party gsuets and conversations and so on. And it's something I've never really found a good way of doing. But my wife — who was then my glfirirned — managed it much better than I've ever been able to. Many years ago, when we first started going out, she was wnrikog for the BBC in Britain, and I was, at that stage, working in arimcea. I was cionmg back to visit her. She told this to one of her colleagues, who said, "Well, what does your boyfriend do?" Sarah tughhot quite hard about the things I'd explained — and she concentrated, in those days, on listening. (lhuetagr) Don't tell her I said that. And she was thinnikg about the work I did developing mathematical models for understanding evolution and modern gntecies. So when her colleague said, "What does he do?" She paused and said, "He models things." (Laughter) Well, her colleague suddenly got much more interested than I had any right to expect and went on and said, "What does he model?" Well, Sarah thought a little bit more about my work and said, "Genes." (Laughter) "He models genes."

Open Cloze

It's one of the challenges in our profession to try and explain what we do. We're not top on people's lists for dinner party ______ and conversations and so on. And it's something I've never really found a good way of doing. But my wife — who was then my __________ — managed it much better than I've ever been able to. Many years ago, when we first started going out, she was _______ for the BBC in Britain, and I was, at that stage, working in _______. I was ______ back to visit her. She told this to one of her colleagues, who said, "Well, what does your boyfriend do?" Sarah _______ quite hard about the things I'd explained — and she concentrated, in those days, on listening. (________) Don't tell her I said that. And she was ________ about the work I did developing mathematical models for understanding evolution and modern ________. So when her colleague said, "What does he do?" She paused and said, "He models things." (Laughter) Well, her colleague suddenly got much more interested than I had any right to expect and went on and said, "What does he model?" Well, Sarah thought a little bit more about my work and said, "Genes." (Laughter) "He models genes."

Solution

  1. america
  2. thought
  3. girlfriend
  4. working
  5. laughter
  6. genetics
  7. coming
  8. thinking
  9. guests

Original Text

It's one of the challenges in our profession to try and explain what we do. We're not top on people's lists for dinner party guests and conversations and so on. And it's something I've never really found a good way of doing. But my wife — who was then my girlfriend — managed it much better than I've ever been able to. Many years ago, when we first started going out, she was working for the BBC in Britain, and I was, at that stage, working in America. I was coming back to visit her. She told this to one of her colleagues, who said, "Well, what does your boyfriend do?" Sarah thought quite hard about the things I'd explained — and she concentrated, in those days, on listening. (Laughter) Don't tell her I said that. And she was thinking about the work I did developing mathematical models for understanding evolution and modern genetics. So when her colleague said, "What does he do?" She paused and said, "He models things." (Laughter) Well, her colleague suddenly got much more interested than I had any right to expect and went on and said, "What does he model?" Well, Sarah thought a little bit more about my work and said, "Genes." (Laughter) "He models genes."

Frequently Occurring Word Combinations

ngrams of length 2

collocation frequency
average number 6
human genome 3
cot death 3
sally clark 3
logical error 3
daunting experience 2
sarah thought 2
modern genetics 2
genome project 2
test positive 2
risk factors 2
build bridges 2
misrepresented evidence 2
people argued 2

ngrams of length 3

collocation frequency
human genome project 2

Important Words

  1. america
  2. bbc
  3. bit
  4. boyfriend
  5. britain
  6. challenges
  7. colleague
  8. colleagues
  9. coming
  10. concentrated
  11. conversations
  12. days
  13. developing
  14. dinner
  15. evolution
  16. expect
  17. explain
  18. explained
  19. genes
  20. genetics
  21. girlfriend
  22. good
  23. guests
  24. hard
  25. interested
  26. laughter
  27. listening
  28. lists
  29. managed
  30. mathematical
  31. model
  32. models
  33. modern
  34. party
  35. paused
  36. profession
  37. sarah
  38. stage
  39. started
  40. suddenly
  41. thinking
  42. thought
  43. told
  44. top
  45. understanding
  46. visit
  47. wife
  48. work
  49. working
  50. years